• The candidates are the 2026 slate as The Northern Vibe Project recorded it beside its projection, from Elections BC's accepted nominations and public announcements. Every major party has a line in every district; where it has nobody standing, the line shows a placeholder rather than a name. No 2024 name is carried forward.
• Each district's split between the parties starts from how it actually voted in 2024, on the same 93-district map, scaled to Northern Vibe's province-wide polling average.
• OneBC and CentreBC did not exist in 2024, so their vote is carved out of each district's 2024 Conservative vote, and concentrated where their own MLAs sit.
• Where the scaled result would elect a different party than Northern Vibe's seat projection, just enough votes are moved to the projected winner to put it one point ahead. A handful of districts are close races by construction, not by measurement.
• Northern Vibe's average across simulations is not a whole number, so it is rounded to whole seats, and each seat goes to the district where Northern Vibe gives that party its best chance. In a few districts that is a party Northern Vibe rates as less likely than another.
• The polling average has one "Others" line. It is split between Independents and other parties in their 2024 proportion.
• Turnout is held at each district's 2024 level. The adjustment moves votes between parties but never changes how many were cast.
• The ranked counts (AV and STV) use an estimated table of second preferences, not a measured one.

Read the full methodology