Manitoba 2027 provincial election: every voting system, side by side

A simulation, not a VoteLab prediction. No candidates are nominated yet, so each line on the ballot is a party. The vote shares and first-past-the-post seat totals are from The Northern Vibe Project’s Manitoba projection as of November 7, 2026: its polling average for the vote, and its projected seat count for FPTP. VoteLab counts those same votes under each of the other voting systems.

At a glance

Compare the key results from the previous pages in one handy table.Compare the key results from the previous pages in one handy table.

Check which systems you want to focus on.

FPTPAVList PRList PR+STVSTV+MMP

Your region and riding

Cast a ballot to see whether your vote elects anyone under each system, and what it is worth.You have not cast a ballot in this election yet. Once you have, this space fills with information about your own region and riding: whether your vote elected anyone under each system, and how much it was worth against a fair share.

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Overall results, by system

All 57 seats, all across the country.

Who gets represented, and how?

How many voters overall elected someone, and how

How many voters helped elect someone, by party

By party

FPTP

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB84%37%10%

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB87%33%33%

List PR

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB100%93%53%

List PR+

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB100%100%82%

STV

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB100%78%41%

STV+

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB100%100%82%

MMP

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB100%100%82%

Difference between seat and vote shares

How far apart the seat and vote shares are election-wide

Difference between seat and vote shares, by party

By party

FPTP

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB+19-9-5

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB+20-13-3

List PR

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB+12-6-2

List PR+

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB+40-1

STV

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB+13-6-3

STV+

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB+60-2

MMP

MBNDPMBPCMBLIB+3+3-2

Disparities in how different political views are represented within each region

How lopsided the regional results are

	FPTP — First-Past-The-Post. One vote, one winner per riding. Today's Canadian baseline. Current system.	AV — Alternative Vote. Rank candidates in a single-member riding. One winner, by instant runoff.	List PR — List Proportional Representation. Vote for a party. Seats are allocated proportionally per district.	List PR+ — List PR with regional top-ups. List PR at the district tier, with regional top-up seats.	STV — Single Transferable Vote. Rank candidates in a multi-member district. Multiple winners.	STV+ — STV with regional top-ups. STV at the district tier, with top-up seats balancing the region.	MMP — Mixed-Member Proportional. A local representative plus a regional party top-up for proportionality.
Who gets represented, and how?
How many voters overall elected someone, and how See the full figure on the Overall Results page.	59%just over halfCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	61%a clear majorityCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	90%almost everyoneCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	95%almost everyoneCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	84%most votersCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	95%almost everyoneCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	95%almost everyoneCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
How many voters helped elect someone, by party See the full figure on the Overall Results page.
MBNDPMBPCMBLIB	84%37%10%Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	87%33%33%Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	100%93%53%Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	100%100%82%Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	100%78%41%Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	100%100%82%Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	100%100%82%Compare this system on the Overall Results page.
Difference between seat and vote shares
How far apart the seat and vote shares are election-wide See the full figure on the Overall Results page.	15.3highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	17.3highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	9.5low to moderateCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	3.7lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	10.8low to moderateCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	4.9lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	3.7lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
Difference between seat and vote shares, by party See the full figure on the Overall Results page.
MBNDPMBPCMBLIB	+19-9-5Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	+20-13-3Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	+12-6-2Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	+40-1Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	+13-6-3Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	+60-2Compare this system on the Overall Results page.	+3+3-2Compare this system on the Overall Results page.
Disparities in how different political views are represented within each region
How lopsided the regional results are See the full figure on the Overall Results page.	21.1very highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	23.2very highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	10.2low to moderateCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	4.7lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	11.4low to moderateCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	5.6lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.	4.7lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.

What if people vote differently?