A simulation, not a prediction. The candidates are the real 2026 slate as it stood when we last updated it, but the vote counts are simulated, calibrated to polling as of October 5, 2026 rather than measured. Methodology lists the exact polls behind that and what it assumes.
At a glance
Compare the key results from the previous pages in one handy table.Compare the key results from the previous pages in one handy table.
Your region and riding
Cast a ballot to see whether your vote elects anyone under each system, and what it is worth.You have not cast a ballot in this election yet. Once you have, this space fills with information about your own region and riding: whether your vote elected anyone under each system, and how much it was worth against a fair share.
Cast your ballotOverall results, by system
All 127 seats, all across the country.
Who gets represented, and how?
- FPTP43% fewer than halfCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- AV53% just over halfCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- List PR82% most votersCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- List PR+97% almost everyoneCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- STV83% most votersCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- STV+97% almost everyoneCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- MMP91% almost everyoneCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
By party
FPTP
AV
List PR
List PR+
STV
STV+
MMP
Difference between seat and vote shares
- FPTP19.8highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- AV20.3very highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- List PR5.8lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- List PR+2.9lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- STV5.8lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- STV+2.7lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- MMP7.5low to moderateCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
By party
FPTP
AV
List PR
List PR+
STV
STV+
MMP
Disparities in how different political views are represented within each region
- FPTP30.2very highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- AV30.2very highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- List PR9.1low to moderateCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- List PR+5.1lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- STV9.5low to moderateCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- STV+5.6lowCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
- MMP13.4highCompare this system on the Overall Results page.
What if people vote differently?

